Investment Grade 1031 Exchange Market Trends

9th March 2025 | by the Investment Grade Team

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The 1031 exchange market has undergone significant transformation over the past five years, reflecting broader shifts in commercial real estate dynamics and investor preferences. After achieving record transaction volumes during the post-pandemic boom of 2021-2022, activity moderated in 2023 as rising interest rates cooled the market. Despite this cyclical slowdown, fundamental investor interest in tax-deferred exchanges remains robust, with many participants simply waiting for more favorable financing conditions to reemerge.

For those seeking investment-grade real estate within a 1031 exchange framework, clear patterns emerge in asset class selection. When examining direct 1031 exchanges (where investors personally acquire replacement properties rather than fractional interests), the data reveals distinct preferences by both transaction count and dollar volume.

Multifamily: The Perennial Favorite

Apartment properties remain the cornerstone of investment-grade 1031 exchange activity, representing approximately 31% of all transactions by count and an impressive 38% by dollar volume. This disproportionate share of capital reflects the larger deal sizes typical in this sector, with many institutional-quality apartment communities commanding premium prices.

Investors are drawn to multifamily for several compelling reasons that align with investment-grade criteria:

  • Reliable rent growth: Apartments have demonstrated consistent income appreciation even through economic cycles
  • Strong occupancy trends: Housing demand remains fundamentally stable regardless of economic conditions
  • Operational scale economies: Larger properties allow for professional management and cost efficiencies
  • Financing advantages: Multifamily consistently offers the most favorable lending terms compared to other commercial property types
  • Demographic tailwinds: Millennial household formation and aging Baby Boomers create sustained rental demand

These qualities make multifamily particularly attractive for investment-grade 1031 exchanges, where preservation of capital and reliable performance are paramount considerations.

Retail (Especially NNN-Leased): The Safe Harbor

Retail properties match multifamily in popularity by transaction count (approximately 31%) while accounting for about 21% of exchange value. The sweet spot in this category is single-tenant net-leased properties with investment-grade tenants – pharmacies, national fast-food brands, and bank branches with long-term NNN leases.

These investments appeal particularly to retiring property owners looking to transition from management-intensive assets to passive, predictable income streams. The investment-grade nature of many retail tenants (with credit ratings of BBB or higher) provides additional security that resonates with exchange investors seeking capital preservation.

Office: The Transitioning Sector

Traditional office properties have fallen from favor since 2020, now representing only about 12% of investment-grade exchanges. The sector’s challenges with remote work trends have redirected investor interest toward specialized subtypes that better meet investment-grade criteria:

  • Medical office buildings: Healthcare-driven demand creates stable occupancy profiles
  • Life science facilities: Specialized infrastructure creates high tenant retention and defensible rent levels
  • Single-tenant buildings with credit tenants: Long-term leases to investment-grade corporations offer bond-like stability

These office subtypes continue to attract 1031 exchange capital even as the broader office sector undergoes significant reassessment.

Industrial: The Growth Darling

Industrial properties account for roughly 11% of 1031 exchanges by count, though their share of dollar volume has been increasing. E-commerce expansion has fueled unprecedented demand for investment-grade warehouses and distribution centers, attracting investors seeking reliable tenants and strong growth potential.

The primary constraint on industrial’s share of 1031 activity appears to be price point and availability – many institutional-grade logistics facilities now exceed the typical exchange budget of individual investors, and cap rate compression has made entry difficult even for well-capitalized exchangers.

Emerging Niches: Healthcare & Hospitality

These specialized categories together represent approximately 10% of direct 1031 activity but are gaining momentum. Investment-grade healthcare real estate (medical offices, outpatient facilities, senior housing) offers defensive characteristics through:

  • Recession-resistant demand: Healthcare services remain essential regardless of economic conditions
  • High-quality tenant profiles: Hospital systems and national healthcare providers often carry investment-grade credit ratings
  • Long-term leases: Healthcare tenants typically commit to 10+ year occupancy terms, reducing turnover risk

Hospitality properties, after suffering during the pandemic, have seen selective renewed interest in the investment-grade segment. Premium branded hotels with strong operators have rebounded more quickly than the broader hospitality market, though operational complexity continues to limit mainstream exchange investor appeal.

The Rise of Passive Investment Structures

A defining trend in today’s investment-grade 1031 market is the strong preference for passive ownership structures that minimize investor involvement while maintaining tax advantages. This manifests in two key structures:

NNN & Master Leases: The Hands-Off Approach

Triple-net (NNN) leases, where tenants handle all property expenses beyond base rent, have become the gold standard for investment-grade exchange buyers seeking hassle-free investments. This structure is particularly prevalent in single-tenant retail and healthcare properties, where national operators often sign 10-20 year leases with minimal landlord responsibilities.

In the hospitality sector, master lease arrangements serve a similar function. Rather than operating hotels directly (which few exchange investors want to do), owners lease entire properties to experienced operators who handle all aspects of the business while guaranteeing fixed rent payments to the landlord.

Delaware Statutory Trusts (DSTs): Institutional Access

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DSTs offer fractional ownership in institutional-grade properties, allowing smaller investors to access higher-quality assets while spreading risk. DST offerings focus heavily on multifamily (nearly half of all equity raised) and industrial properties (12-16%), with retail and specialty sectors filling out the mix.

DST structures have democratized access to investment-grade real estate by:

  • Lowering minimum investment thresholds (typically $100,000)
  • Providing professional asset and property management
  • Offering access to properties normally reserved for institutional buyers
  • Creating diversification options across multiple assets and sectors
  • Eliminating day-to-day management responsibilities

The volume of equity flowing into investment-grade DSTs has grown dramatically, from approximately $3.5 billion in 2019 to a peak of $9.2 billion in 2022, before moderating to around $5 billion in 2023 as interest rates impacted the broader transaction market.

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Direct vs. DST Exchange: Different Investor Profiles

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The choice between direct ownership and DST participation in investment-grade real estate typically reflects an investor’s risk tolerance and desired level of control:

Direct Exchange Investors seeking investment-grade assets tend to be:

  • Experienced real estate professionals comfortable with property management
  • High-net-worth individuals with substantial exchange proceeds (typically $1M+)
  • Seeking full control over decision-making and asset improvement strategies
  • Often focused on a specific property type based on professional expertise
  • Willing to accept concentrated risk in exchange for complete autonomy

DST Exchange Investors targeting investment-grade properties typically:

  • Prioritize passive income and capital preservation over control
  • Are often approaching retirement or have inherited property
  • Prefer professionally managed institutional-quality assets
  • Value the ability to diversify across multiple investment-grade properties
  • Accept limited liquidity (5-10 year investment horizons) for predictability

The Multifamily DST Challenge: Growing Pains in a Popular Sector

While multifamily remains the dominant asset class in both direct and DST exchanges, investment-grade apartment DSTs face several challenges that investors should consider:

Compressed Yields

The popularity of multifamily has driven unprecedented investor demand, compressing yields below historical averages. Many investment-grade multifamily DSTs now project first-year cash-on-cash returns in the 3.5-4.5% range, significantly lower than the 5-7% returns common before 2020. This yield compression reflects both heightened competition and recent interest rate impacts.

Operational Complexities

Unlike NNN properties where tenants handle operational responsibilities, multifamily DSTs face complex management requirements:

  • Resident turnover management (typically 40-50% annually)
  • Ongoing maintenance of aging building systems
  • Utility cost fluctuations that may not be fully recoverable
  • Labor cost inflation for property management personnel
  • Changing regulatory requirements in tenant-friendly jurisdictions

These factors can create cash flow volatility that many investment-grade exchange investors seek to avoid.

Market Concentration Risk

The concentration of DST capital in multifamily assets creates potential market risks:

  • Many DST offerings target similar Sunbelt markets (TX, FL, AZ, etc.)
  • Asset price inflation in these markets may limit long-term appreciation
  • New apartment supply in popular markets may pressure occupancy rates
  • Potential correlation risk if the multifamily sector experiences a downturn

Exit Timing Uncertainty

Most multifamily DSTs project 5-10 year holding periods, but market conditions at disposition are impossible to predict. Interest rate environments, demographic shifts, or housing policy changes could significantly impact exit valuations. This uncertainty contrasts with the defined lease terms of NNN properties, which provide clearer visibility on investment horizons.

The NNN Alternative: Simplified Investment-Grade Exchange Solutions

For many investment-grade 1031 exchange investors, especially those seeking simplicity and predictability, NNN-leased properties offer compelling advantages over multifamily or other operationally complex assets:

Lease-Defined Returns

NNN investments with investment-grade tenants provide contractually defined income streams regardless of economic conditions. The tenant’s credit rating essentially becomes the primary risk factor rather than market fluctuations, property performance, or management execution.

Complete Management Freedom

The hallmark of true NNN investments is the absence of landlord responsibilities. Investors receive rental checks without concern for property operations, maintenance issues, or tenant relations. This arrangement proves particularly valuable for:

  • Remote investors who cannot actively manage properties
  • Aging exchangers transitioning toward retirement
  • Those without property management expertise or interest
  • Investors who value time freedom over maximum financial returns

Clear Investment Timeline

NNN leases with investment-grade tenants typically range from 10-20 years with defined renewal options, creating clear investment horizons. This predictability allows for better estate planning and future investment strategy development compared to operationally intensive assets with uncertain holding periods.

Simplified Financing

NNN properties leased to investment-grade tenants often qualify for more favorable financing terms with lower debt service coverage requirements (sometimes as low as 1.15x versus 1.25-1.30x for multifamily). The credit quality of the tenant effectively reduces the lender’s perceived risk, benefiting the property owner.

Sector Diversification

NNN investments span diverse industries including:

  • Medical (Dialysis centers, urgent care)
  • Automotive (Auto parts, tire centers)
  • Financial (Banks, credit unions)
  • Quick-service restaurants (McDonald’s, Chick-fil-A)
  • Convenience stores (7-Eleven, Wawa)
  • Dollar stores (Dollar General, Family Dollar)
  • Pharmacy (Walgreens, CVS)

This diversity allows investors to construct tailored NNN portfolios aligned with their specific economic outlook and risk preferences.

Future Outlook: The Evolving Investment-Grade 1031 Landscape

Looking ahead, several trends seem poised to shape the investment-grade 1031 exchange market:

Quality Over Quantity

As economic uncertainty persists, exchange investors are increasingly prioritizing asset quality over yield. Properties with investment-grade tenants, strong locations, and modern amenities command premium pricing but offer superior downside protection – a trade-off many exchangers now willingly accept.

Continued Sector Rebalancing

While multifamily and industrial will likely maintain leadership positions due to strong fundamentals, we anticipate growing exchange activity in:

  • Healthcare real estate driven by aging demographics
  • Necessity-based retail with essential service providers
  • Specialty sectors like self-storage and manufactured housing
  • Single-tenant buildings with long-term credit tenants

Financing Innovation

As interest rates potentially moderate, new financing structures are emerging to enhance returns on investment-grade properties without adding excessive risk. These include:

  • Interest-only periods on commercial loans
  • Extended amortization schedules (35-40 years)
  • Hybrid debt structures combining fixed and floating components
  • Non-recourse enhancement features for qualified borrowers

Technological Integration

Investment-grade properties increasingly incorporate technology to enhance value and operational efficiency:

  • Smart building systems reducing operating costs
  • Enhanced security features commanding rent premiums
  • Energy efficiency improvements reducing expenses
  • Data analytics enabling optimal asset management

These technological advantages are becoming important differentiators in the investment-grade exchange market.

Conclusion: Strategic Positioning in Today’s Exchange Market

For investors navigating the investment-grade 1031 exchange landscape, strategic asset selection has never been more important. While multifamily remains the volume leader and offers proven resilience, the operational complexities and yield compression in this sector make NNN alternatives increasingly attractive for many exchangers seeking simplicity and predictability.

The ideal approach involves matching investment structure to individual goals:

  • Direct NNN ownership for those seeking maximum control with minimal operational burden
  • DST participation for those prioritizing diversification and institutional-quality management
  • Direct multifamily ownership for operators with property management expertise
  • Mixed strategies for larger exchangers seeking balanced exposure across sectors

As market conditions evolve, the 1031 exchange vehicle continues to provide investors with flexible pathways to preserve wealth while transitioning to property types and ownership structures that align with changing lifestyle and financial needs.

In this dynamic environment, partnering with exchange professionals who understand both the tax implications and the real estate fundamentals of different investment-grade options remains the most reliable path to successful exchange execution and long-term investment satisfaction.

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